SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
46.37% ( 0.37) | 28.5% ( -0.15) | 25.13% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 42.33% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.93% ( 0.36) | 63.07% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.48% ( 0.26) | 82.51% ( -0.26) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( 0.36) | 27.34% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( 0.47) | 62.8% ( -0.46) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.01) | 41.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.79% ( 0.01) | 78.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.71% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 25.13% |
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