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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 12, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Tigre

Veron (14'), Cabrera (25')
Reniero (8'), Moyano (32'), Torren (40')
Torren (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Retegui (34' pen.)
Castro (12'), Demartini (89')
Luciatti (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, July 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Talleres
Saturday, July 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Tigre

Even though they dropped their last home fixture on Wednesday, El Bicho play with a lot more structure and balance on their home field. We expect them to use the crowd to their advantage again on Monday while also finding a way through a side who have conceded the second-most goals (10) in the second phase of this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentinos Juniors.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawTigre
57.01% (0.408 0.41) 24.07% (-0.338 -0.34) 18.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.832 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (1.173 1.17)53.39% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.983 0.98)74.92% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (0.596 0.6)18.57% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.17% (0.997 1)49.83% (-0.995 -1)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.47% (0.607 0.61)42.53% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.11% (0.515 0.52)78.89% (-0.51299999999999 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 57.01%
    Tigre 18.91%
    Draw 24.06%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawTigre
1-0 @ 13.29% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, July 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Monday, June 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, June 11 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Aldosivi
Tuesday, June 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Talleres
Saturday, July 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Tigre
Sunday, June 26 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 Banfield
Sunday, June 19 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 5-3 Tigre
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-2 Tigre
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division


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