Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
