SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
49.49% ( 0.3) | 26.69% ( -0.32) | 23.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.04% ( 1.13) | 57.96% ( -1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% ( 0.88) | 78.66% ( -0.88) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.48% ( 0.63) | 23.53% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.9) | 57.57% ( -0.9) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.66) | 40.05% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( 0.6) | 76.7% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 23.82% |
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