SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
42.41% ( 0.06) | 27.18% ( 0) | 30.41% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% ( -0.03) | 56.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.79% ( -0.02) | 77.2% ( 0.02) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0.02) | 26.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( 0.03) | 61.25% ( -0.03) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( -0.07) | 33.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( -0.07) | 70.22% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.41% |
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