SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
58.97% ( 0.3) | 23.38% ( 0.11) | 17.65% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( -1) | 52.46% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( -0.86) | 74.13% ( 0.86) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.26) | 17.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( -0.44) | 48.01% ( 0.44) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.51% ( -1.08) | 43.48% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.3% ( -0.92) | 79.7% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 58.96% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.65% |
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