SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 43.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 27.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | San Lorenzo |
43.1% ( 0.02) | 29.71% ( 0.01) | 27.19% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.77% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.28% ( -0.06) | 65.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.61% ( -0.04) | 84.39% ( 0.03) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -0.02) | 30.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( -0.02) | 66.59% ( 0.01) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( -0.07) | 41.43% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.06% ( -0.06) | 77.93% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 27.18% |
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