SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Tigre |
45.66% ( -0.19) | 26.1% ( -0.78) | 28.23% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( 2.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( 3.48) | 52.93% ( -3.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( 2.89) | 74.53% ( -2.89) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 1.43) | 23.13% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( 2.04) | 56.99% ( -2.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( 2.63) | 33.53% ( -2.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% ( 2.78) | 70.17% ( -2.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -1.12) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.66% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -1.13)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.23% |
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