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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Union

Coronel (18' pen.)
Tesuri (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luna Diale (32'), Gordillo (46'), Machuca (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 3-0 Independiente
Saturday, June 24 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Tucuman 2-1 Union

Despite Union clearly being in better form ahead of this huge clash towards the bottom of the table, they may have been rocked by the departure of their manager earlier this week. Tucuman have won their last two home matches and will therefore feel confident of piling on the misery for their opponents, so we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 46%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.08%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Tucuman.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawUnion
46% (0.0010000000000048 0) 30.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 37.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.25%68.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.57%86.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66%30.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)82.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 45.99%
    Union 23.74%
    Draw 30.24%
Atletico TucumanDrawUnion
1-0 @ 16.79%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-1 @ 3.06%
4-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.17%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 45.99%
0-0 @ 14.08%
1-1 @ 12.89%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 30.24%
0-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, June 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, May 27 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, May 13 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 3-0 Independiente
Saturday, June 24 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-1 Lanus
Saturday, June 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-1 Union
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 2-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 4 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-1 Union
Monday, May 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Union
Friday, May 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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