SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Lanus |
41.34% ( -0.05) | 29.23% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.48% ( 0.05) | 63.52% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.16% ( 0.04) | 82.84% ( -0.03) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0) | 30.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.01) | 66.47% ( 0.01) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.07) | 38.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( 0.07) | 75.07% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 29.43% |
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