SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 35.01%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Independiente |
34.24% ( 0.16) | 30.74% ( 0.14) | 35.01% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.21% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.41) | 67.36% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.49% ( -0.28) | 85.51% ( 0.28) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( -0.12) | 36.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.36% ( -0.12) | 73.64% ( 0.12) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.44) | 36.31% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( -0.45) | 73.1% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.74% | 0-1 @ 13.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 35% |
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