SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Independiente |
43.89% ( -0.63) | 31.34% ( 0.02) | 24.77% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 35.77% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.97% ( 0.21) | 71.03% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.11% ( 0.13) | 87.88% ( -0.13) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.25) | 32.73% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( -0.28) | 69.29% ( 0.28) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.18% ( 0.73) | 46.82% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.65% ( 0.55) | 82.35% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 17.11% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 43.88% | 0-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.12) 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 31.33% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.77% |
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