SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Platense had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Platense |
52.59% ( -0.24) | 26.95% ( 0.06) | 20.46% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 41.49% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.37% ( 0) | 61.63% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.54% ( 0) | 81.46% ( 0) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.1) | 23.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( -0.15) | 57.84% ( 0.15) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.39% ( 0.21) | 45.61% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.58% ( 0.16) | 81.42% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.56% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 52.58% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.46% |
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