SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Platense |
| 49.71% | 26.73% | 23.56% |
| Both teams to score 45.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% | 57.64% |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% | 40.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% | 77.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.01% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.53% Total : 49.71% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.29% Total : 23.56% |
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