SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Boca Juniors |
39.63% ( -0.04) | 30.07% ( -0.01) | 30.3% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.23% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.16% ( 0.03) | 65.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.53% ( 0.02) | 84.47% ( -0.02) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.01) | 32.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0.01) | 69.02% ( 0.01) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( 0.05) | 38.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( 0.05) | 75.65% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.54% 3-0 @ 3% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.06% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 30.3% |
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