SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Union had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Racing Club |
31.52% ( 0.41) | 29.33% ( 0.34) | 39.15% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.69% ( -1.01) | 63.3% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.31% ( -0.74) | 82.69% ( 0.73) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.25) | 36.59% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.62% ( -0.25) | 73.37% ( 0.25) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.96) | 31.47% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( -1.12) | 67.85% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.96% Total : 39.15% |
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