SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Estudiantes |
44.37% ( -1.44) | 28.46% ( -0.38) | 27.16% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( 2.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.08% ( 2.09) | 61.91% ( -2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.32% ( 1.51) | 81.67% ( -1.52) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( 0.25) | 27.83% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( 0.32) | 63.43% ( -0.32) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( 2.8) | 39.28% ( -2.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( 2.52) | 75.99% ( -2.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( -1.03) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.59)2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.88)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.16% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
