SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Union |
44.98% ( 0.27) | 29.08% ( 0.03) | 25.94% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 41.5% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.24) | 64.41% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% ( -0.17) | 83.47% ( 0.17) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0.04) | 64.54% ( -0.04) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( -0.41) | 41.77% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.76% ( -0.36) | 78.24% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.94% |
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