SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Colon had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Colon |
39.7% ( 0.06) | 29.48% ( -0.01) | 30.82% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.06% ( 0.01) | 63.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.86% ( 0) | 83.14% ( 0) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0.04) | 31.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% ( 0.05) | 67.85% ( -0.04) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( -0.04) | 37.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( -0.04) | 74.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 30.81% |
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