Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
