SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
40.33% ( -0.05) | 27.66% ( -0) | 32.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.24% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% ( 0.03) | 57.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( 0.02) | 78.24% ( -0.03) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.02) | 27.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.02) | 63.51% ( 0.01) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.05) | 33.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% ( 0.06) | 69.7% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.01% |
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