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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
JN
Tajikistan
1 - 1
Jordan
Samiev (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al-Naimat (90+3')
Naseeb (17'), Abu Hasheesh (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malaysia 0-2 Tajikistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iraq 2-2 Jordan (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Tajikistan 2-1 Jordan

After conceding 13 goals across their first four matches under new boss Ammouta, Jordan must make improvements in defence if they are to have any chance of claiming a positive result against a Tajikistan outfit, who have scored in each of their last six internationals. There is little to separate these two nations, but we believe that Tajikistan will do enough to claim a slender win and open their account in World Cup qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
TajikistanDrawJordan
41.59% (0.148 0.15) 27.08% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 31.34% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.56% (0.13 0.13)55.44% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (0.107 0.11)76.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (0.13800000000001 0.14)26.28% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (0.184 0.18)61.4% (-0.18 -0.18)
Jordan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)69.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 41.59%
    Jordan 31.34%
    Draw 27.08%
TajikistanDrawJordan
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malaysia 0-2 Tajikistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Singapore 0-2 Tajikistan
Friday, September 8 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 2-1 Tajikistan
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: UAE 0-0 Tajikistan
Saturday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-0 Russia
Thursday, November 17 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 1-0 Tajikistan
Wednesday, June 1 at 4.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iraq 2-2 Jordan (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jordan 1-3 Iran
Friday, October 13 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-1 Jordan
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 6-0 Jordan
Thursday, September 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Jordan
Monday, June 19 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Serbia 3-2 Jordan
Friday, June 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

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