SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Jordan |
41.59% ( 0.15) | 27.08% ( -0.04) | 31.34% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% ( 0.13) | 55.44% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.37% ( 0.11) | 76.63% ( -0.1) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( 0.14) | 26.28% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( 0.18) | 61.4% ( -0.18) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.01) | 32.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( -0.01) | 69.08% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tajikistan | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.34% |
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