Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
