Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Minsk would win this match.
