SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 72.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
72.21% ( -0.67) | 16.63% ( 0.34) | 11.16% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.67) | 36.66% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.18% ( -0.73) | 58.82% ( 0.73) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.12% ( -0.32) | 8.88% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.62% ( -0.78) | 30.38% ( 0.78) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.14) | 43.04% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( 0.12) | 79.32% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.59% Total : 72.21% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.63% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 11.16% |
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