SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Cukaricki |
58.91% ( 0.01) | 20.7% ( -0) | 20.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.18% | 36.82% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.01% ( 0) | 58.99% ( -0) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( 0) | 12.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.98% ( 0.01) | 38.02% ( -0.01) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( -0.01) | 31.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( -0.01) | 67.75% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Cukaricki |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.98% 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 58.91% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.39% |
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