SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
41.06% ( 0.47) | 24.65% ( -0.02) | 34.29% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.01) | 44.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.01) | 66.74% ( -0.01) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.23) | 21.63% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( 0.35) | 54.75% ( -0.35) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.25) | 25.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( -0.35) | 59.9% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.29% |
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