Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.