SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Union SG | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Charleroi | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Hammarby | 21 | 22 | 38 |
| 5 | Malmo | 22 | 9 | 37 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 22 | 7 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Malmo |
47.66% ( -0) | 23.69% ( -0.05) | 28.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( 0.28) | 42.37% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( 0.28) | 64.78% ( -0.29) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 0.11) | 17.97% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( 0.19) | 48.81% ( -0.19) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.18) | 27.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 0.23) | 63.36% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.64% |
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