Although we expect Thursday's encounter to be a closely-fought contest, we think that the hosts will continue their unbeaten start to the season by claiming a narrow win over their Belgian opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Union SG
43.63% ( -0.07)	25.4% ( 0.01)	30.97% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.25% (

-0.02)

48.75% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.14% (

-0.02)

70.86% (

0.02)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

-0.04)

22.29% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24% (

-0.06)

55.75% (

0.06)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

0.02)

29.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

0.03)

65.39% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 43.63%

Union SG 30.97%

Draw 25.39%

Union Berlin	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.63%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.97%