SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
42.77% ( -0.06) | 25.68% ( 0.09) | 31.55% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.24% ( -0.41) | 49.76% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( -0.37) | 71.76% ( 0.37) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( -0.2) | 23.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.99% ( -0.3) | 57.01% ( 0.3) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -0.23) | 29.51% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( -0.28) | 65.53% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.55% |
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