SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
35.34% ( -0.04) | 24.83% ( -0.01) | 39.83% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( 0.06) | 45.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( 0.06) | 67.37% ( -0.05) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( 0.01) | 24.89% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( 0.01) | 59.5% ( -0) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.05) | 22.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 0.08) | 56.08% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.34% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.83% |
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