SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
40.09% ( -0) | 24.41% ( 0.01) | 35.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.74% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.02) | 43.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( -0.02) | 65.43% ( 0.03) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.01) | 21.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( -0.02) | 54.58% ( 0.02) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.01) | 23.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( -0.01) | 58.08% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.07% Total : 35.5% |
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