SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Westerlo |
57.34% ( -0.17) | 22.14% ( 0.02) | 20.52% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.11) | 43.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( 0.1) | 65.71% ( -0.11) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -0.02) | 14.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.79% ( -0.04) | 43.21% ( 0.04) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.21) | 34.99% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( 0.22) | 71.73% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.34% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.52% |
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