SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Charleroi |
37.86% ( -0.01) | 24.02% | 38.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( 0.01) | 40.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( 0.01) | 63.33% ( -0.01) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0) | 54.85% ( 0.01) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.01) | 21.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.36% ( 0.02) | 54.64% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.13% |
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