SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Charleroi |
48.17% ( 0.14) | 24.13% ( 0.02) | 27.71% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.19) | 44.96% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( -0.18) | 67.31% ( 0.19) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.02) | 18.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( -0.03) | 50.18% ( 0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.21) | 29.77% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0.26) | 65.84% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 27.71% |
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