SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Genk |
26.45% ( 0.04) | 23.03% ( 0.02) | 50.51% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( -0.06) | 40.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( -0.05) | 63.32% ( 0.05) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -0) | 28.59% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -0) | 64.39% |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( -0.04) | 16.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( -0.07) | 45.96% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 26.45% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.51% |
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