SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 55%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Leuven |
55% ( -0.09) | 22.24% ( -0) | 22.76% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( 0.11) | 40.94% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( 0.11) | 63.33% ( -0.11) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( 0.01) | 14.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( 0.02) | 43.11% ( -0.02) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( 0.14) | 31.57% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( 0.16) | 67.96% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 22.76% |
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