Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mechelen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
51.75% ( -0.05) | 23.82% ( 0.02) | 24.43% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.75% ( -0.05) | 46.25% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.46% ( -0.05) | 68.54% ( 0.05) |
Mechelen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( -0.03) | 17.87% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( -0.06) | 48.64% ( 0.06) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( -0) | 33.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% | 69.63% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Mechelen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.74% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 24.43% |
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