SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
38.33% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( 0) | 37.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.42% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( 0) | 42.24% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0) | 64.64% ( 0) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( -0.01) | 22.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( -0.02) | 55.37% ( 0.02) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.01) | 22.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 0.02) | 56.08% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.39% |
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