Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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