SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
44.17% ( -0.03) | 25.72% ( 0) | 30.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% ( -0.01) | 50.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% ( -0.01) | 72.4% ( 0.01) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( -0.02) | 22.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% ( -0.02) | 56.47% ( 0.02) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.01) | 30.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( 0.01) | 67.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 30.11% |
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