SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Genk |
31.63% ( 0.14) | 25.22% ( -0.02) | 43.14% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.13) | 47.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.12) | 69.91% ( -0.12) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.16) | 28.44% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( 0.2) | 64.2% ( -0.2) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0) | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( -0) | 55.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Genk |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.63% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.15% |
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