SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
38.86% ( 0.52) | 24.67% ( 0.17) | 36.47% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 58.93% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.82) | 44.13% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.81) | 66.51% ( 0.81) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.1) | 22.6% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% ( -0.15) | 56.22% ( 0.16) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( -0.74) | 23.85% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.96% ( -1.07) | 58.04% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.47% |
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