SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
57.15% ( -2.93) | 22.22% ( 0.58) | 20.62% ( 2.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 2.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.45% ( 0.83) | 43.55% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.06% ( 0.81) | 65.94% ( -0.81) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( -0.66) | 15.01% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.53% ( -1.27) | 43.47% ( 1.26) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( 2.96) | 35.03% ( -2.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( 2.98) | 71.77% ( -2.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.82)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.67)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.71% Total : 57.16% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.62% |
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