Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.