Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.03) 
