SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Internacional | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Ceara | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 16 | America Mineiro | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 17 | Avai | 16 | -9 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | America Mineiro |
67.76% ( -0.26) | 19.82% ( 0.07) | 12.42% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( 0.14) | 47.86% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.13) | 70.04% ( -0.13) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( -0.03) | 13.13% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.06) | 39.79% ( 0.06) |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.88% ( 0.4) | 48.11% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.69% ( 0.29) | 83.31% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Internacional | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 2-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 67.75% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.82% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 12.42% |
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