Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.29) 
