Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 12.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.29) 
